Mesoscale Processes in Tropical Cyclones

I have four long-term goals. My first goal is to finalize the large body of work already carried out by the PI on the predictability of tropical cyclone (TC) forecast tracks out to 72 hours ahead. My second goal is to apply similar, as well as new, ideas to the predictability of forecast intensity out to 72 hours ahead. My third goal is to carry out observing system simulation experiments (OSSEs) on the Aerosonde data. Finally, my fourth goal was to commence work on applying adjoint sensitivity and other techniques to increase our understanding and predictive skill of TC intensity and precipitation, especially TCs nearing and making landfall. The above goals all have implications for transitions.